In the bustling world of finance, the Forex market is a sea of uncertainty, where currencies surf in endless exchanges. To minimize the risks caused by unforeseen fluctuations, we should apply the Forex Technical analysis method. Let’s explore deeper into this complex world with Forex Trading. Traders need to understand not only the Concept of Technical Analysis in numbers and Forex charts are not only data but also indicators of success. Find out now through the following article!
What is technical analysis and why is it necessary in trading?
Technical analysis is an indispensable tool for traders in making trading decisions. By studying charts and technical indicators, traders can identify trends, find trading opportunities, and manage risk effectively.
The concept of technical analysis in Forex
Technical Analysis is the process of evaluating and predicting price movements of currency pairs based on historical data on prices and trading volume. The goal of Forex Technical Analysis is to identify market trends and find trading opportunities based on technical indicators and patterns.
This process in Forex typically includes identifying market trends, and entry and exit points, as well as identifying important support and resistance levels. This information is extracted from price charts and used to make trading decisions. This is an important part of the trading strategy of many Forex traders. Helps them better understand market behavior and increase their chances of trading success.
Advantages of applying Forex technical analysis in trading
Applying Technical Analysis in Forex trading has immediate and easily recognizable advantages:
- Helps traders recognize and determine market trends. By analyzing charts and technical indicators, they can identify price increases or decreases and determine the exact trend of the market.
- Providing individual traders with the tools to identify potential trading opportunities. By looking at chart patterns and technical signals such as support, resistance, and other price patterns, they can locate effective entry and exit points into the market.
- Provides information on support and resistance levels, as well as other technical indicators, helping traders identify stop losses and profit targets, thereby minimizing risk and optimizing profits.
- Often used for short-term and intraday trading, allowing traders to take advantage of short-term trading opportunities that appear during the day.
- Based on reading charts and using simple technical tools like moving averages, MACD, RSI, etc., it is most accessible and understandable for new traders.
Tools commonly used in technical analysis include?
Tools | Function |
On balance volume (OBV) |
|
Accumulation/distribution curve (A/D) |
|
ADX index |
|
Aroon Oscillation |
|
MACD line |
|
RSI index |
|
Stochastic |
|
Forex technical analysis strategies are commonly applied
Strategy | Using |
Moving average crossover (MA) strategy | This strategy uses a combination of two moving averages – the short-term EMA and the long-term EMA – to identify changes in trends. When the short-term EMA crosses the long-term EMA, it is considered a bullish signal. Conversely, when the short-term EMA falls below the long-term EMA, it is considered a bearish signal. |
Strategy using index (RSI) | When the RSI is above 70, the asset can decrease in price because it is considered overbought, when the RSI is below 30, the asset can increase in price because it is oversold. |
Fibonacci retracement strategy | This strategy is used to identify potential support and resistance levels in the market. Fibonacci retracement levels are based on a mathematical sequence of numbers and are used to identify areas where the price is likely to bounce back or reverse. For example, if the price of a currency pair is trending up, a trader can use Fibonacci retracements to identify potential support levels to which the price is likely to bounce back. |
Instructions for performing technical analysis through some basic elements
Technical analysis is a useful tool that helps traders predict price trends and make smart trading decisions. Below is a detailed guide on how to perform Technical Analysis through some basic elements:
Technical analysis through a number of outstanding indicators
In Technical Analysis, technical indicators are powerful tools that help traders make decisions based on historical data and price behavior. At the same time, it also helps Traders identify trends, and market entry/exit points and manage risks. Here are some outstanding indicators along with how to use them:
Instructions for implementing the Accumulation/Distribution indicator in basic technical analysis.
First, we will learn about how to calculate the accumulation or distribution indicator.
How to calculate the accumulation/distribution indicator?
Step 1: Calculate the cash flow ratio (MFM), to create a cumulative distribution curve. The line increases when the multiplier is positive and decreases when the multiplier is negative.
- [(Close – Low) – (High – Close)] / (High – Low).
Step 2: Multiply the calculated MFM by the volume over the given period and get the Money Flow Volume (MFV). It is calculated as follows: MFV = MFM x Volume for the period.
Step 3: Maintain the total active cash flow volume to form the cumulative distribution line (ADL): ADL = previous ADL + current period’s cash flow volume
How to read accumulation/distribution charts
- An MFM value of 0 means the price closed between the high and low of the range
- A value of +1 indicates a close equal to the high of the range
- A value of -1 indicates a close equal to the low of the range.
How to confirm trends and divergences
- Trend confirmation helps determine the strength of a trend.
- When ADL increases with price, they confirm an uptrend.
- When the ADL lines go down with falling prices, they support a downtrend.
- Another important feature of the ADL indicator is divergence.
- It occurs when the ADL line contradicts the price movement, giving a bullish or bearish signal.
- Bearish divergence occurs when an asset’s price makes higher highs on the chart, while the indicator makes lower highs. During a bearish divergence, the price creates a rapid downward movement.
- Bullish divergence works in a similar way but in the opposite direction.
Instructions for using the ATR indicator to cut losses
Determine the current ATR level:
– Observe the ATR value on the chart at the time you want to enter the order.
ATR=(ΣTR)/n
– Calculate stop loss level:
- Buy signal: Set a stop loss below the entry price an amount equal to 1 to 2 times the ATR value.
For example: If ATR = 20 pips and you use a multiplier of 2. The stop loss will be 40 pips below the entry price.
- Sell signal: Set a stop loss on the entry price to a range equal to 1 to 2 times the ATR value.
For example: If ATR = 20 pips and you use a multiplier of 2. The stop loss will be 40 pips above the entry price.
Instructions for trading with the trend with the Parabolic SAR indicator
Identify main trends:
- Uptrend: Parabolic SAR points below the price.
- Downtrend: Parabolic SAR points are above the price.
Determine entry point:
- Buy order: Enter the order right after the SAR point appears below the price candle.
- Sell order: Enter the order immediately after the SAR point appears on the price candle.
Set stop loss and take profit:
- Set a stop loss at the nearest Parabolic SAR point for a buy or sell order.
- You can use resistance/support levels or other tools to determine a reasonable take-profit level.
The chart below shows examples of buy and sell orders placed according to the Parabolic SAR.
- Red circle – Sell stop order is activated
- Green circle – Buy stop order is activated
Instructions for performing technical analysis through some price models
Price patterns are specific shapes formed on price charts that traders use to predict the market’s next direction. Here is a detailed guide to some popular pricing models:
Instructions for technical analysis through the 2-peak model
Step 1: Confirm the double top pattern:
- Start by identifying the double top pattern on the price chart and confirming it.
Step 2 : Determine the entry point for a sell order:
- An effective short entry point is when the price breaks through the support level created by the middle bottom of the double-top pattern.
- When the price breaks above this support level, it could be a sign of a continuation of selling pressure and a new downtrend.
Step 3: Determine profit target (Take Profit) and stop loss level (Stop Loss)
Set a target for your desired profit:
- Measure the height from the peak down to the support level created by the middle bottom of the double top.
- You can set a profit target at the expected price level that the market can reach after falling from the support level.
Determine how much loss you can bear:
- The stop loss is usually placed at a safe level, usually above the top of the double top.
- The purpose of a stop loss is to protect your capital from unwanted fluctuations. Or in the case of a continuation of the uptrend because the double-top pattern did not work as expected.
- Make sure your stop loss is within your control.
technical analysis in forex through the positive head and shoulders pattern
Step 1: Determine the model’s entry point
- The most common entry point is when a breakout occurs – the neckline is broken and the trade is entered.
- This method refers to waiting for a retracement after the breakout has taken place. This is more conservative in that the trade could be missed if the price continues to move in the direction of the breakout.
Step 2: Risk management:
Determine your stop loss at a level you can control:
- The stop loss is usually placed at the level of the break through the neckline and a certain safe distance.
Determine the profit you want to have:
- Determine a reasonable profit target based on the height of the head or other potential support levels.
Step 3: Use resistance and support levels:
Resistance level:
- When the price breaks through the neckline from the bottom up, the neckline becomes a new resistance level.
Support level:
- After the H&S pattern completes and the price breaks through the neckline from above, the neckline becomes a new support level.
Technical analysis forex through the ascending triangle pattern
Step 1: Determine the model formation
To find an ascending triangle pattern, look for areas where the price has a strong uptrend and is currently trading sideways.
Step 2: Wait for Breakout and close the order
- Ascending chart patterns can take weeks to months to fully develop.
- Every test of a new resistance area has the potential for a breakout, but traders should be wary of false breakouts.
- A sustained breakout is often accompanied by above-average trading volume.
- The closer the ascending trendline is to the horizontal resistance line, the more likely a breakout is to occur.
Step 4: Set profit target and resistance level
What disadvantages does technical analysis Forex have that are worth paying attention to?
Technical analysis is a popular method in Forex trading, however, it also has certain disadvantages.
Depends on past data
- Technical Analysis is based on the assumption that past trends and patterns will repeat. However, this is not always true as the market can change due to many different factors.
- Unexpected economic and political events or sudden news can change market trends that Technical Analysis cannot predict.
False Signals
- The Forex market can have many small fluctuations, leading to many noisy or false signals from technical indicators, making it difficult to determine the exact trend.
- Using too many indicators can lead to conflicting signals, causing confusion and reducing the effectiveness of the trading strategy.
Requires skills and experience
- Understanding and proficiently using Technical Analysis requires considerable study and practice time.
- New traders may have difficulty applying technical indicators and patterns correctly.
See more: Indicator- Increase ability analyze and forecast exact
Where to learn basic technical analysis?
Book:
- ” Technical analysis Forex for beginners” by John J. Murphy
- “Mastering the Trade” by Kathy Lien and Michael Carr
- “The Complete Guide to Technical Analysis” của Steven Achelis
Online materials: Many websites and blogs provide free materials about Technical Analysis Forex, for example:
- Investopedia
- Baby pipes
- DailyFX
- Forex Trading
Course:
- Online courses: Udemy, Skillshare, Coursera
- Offline courses: Some financial institutions and Forex trading exchanges also organize offline courses on Technical Analysis Forex.
Webinars and seminars:
Forum and community:
- Forums: Join Forex forums to exchange experiences and learn from other traders. Some reputable Forex forums include:
- Forex Factory
- Elite Trade
- Babypips Forum
- Community: Join Forex communities on social networks such as Facebook, Telegram, etc. to learn and interact with other traders.
Note:
- Start with basic knowledge such as technical indicators, price patterns, etc
- Practice regularly using demos or small accounts.
Summary
In the volatile world of the foreign exchange market, technical analysis has proven itself to be a powerful and useful tool, helping traders identify trends, identify opportunities, and manage risks effectively. effectively. Through the article, Forex Trading has provided readers with a clear awareness of the advantages and disadvantages of Technical Analysis that will help Traders develop appropriate strategies, thereby improving efficiency and optimizing profits in trading. Forex. Apply these techniques to come up with a strategy that has an outstanding success rate!
FAQs
How to start learning technical analysis?
You should learn about basic principles such as:
- Chart types (such as line charts, candlestick charts, and bar charts).
- Popular indicators include MA, RSI, and MACD.
Which technical indicators are most suitable for beginners?
For beginners, simple indicators like moving averages (MA), RSI, and MACD are good options to start with. They are easy to understand and effective in identifying trends and trading signals.
Can Technical Analysis be applied to all types of assets?
Technical Analysis can be applied to many different asset types such as stocks, Forex, commodities, cryptocurrencies, and other financial instruments.